Provincial policy directs that the County, in consultation with Area Municipalities, shall identify, coordinate and allocate population, housing and employment projections for the Area Municipalities, identify areas where growth or development will be directed, and identify targets for intensification and re-development. To address this requirement, Oxford County updates the growth forecasts and land need analysis for the County and Area Municipalities approximately every five years.
The most recent update is the Oxford County Phase 1 Comprehensive Review study, which was adopted by County Council on April 8, 2020. This study provides the most current growth assumptions and land supply analysis (including any potential land need) for Oxford and all eight Area Municipalities. The information in the study is used to inform the Official Plan growth management policies as well as planning for infrastructure and various other County and Area Municipal growth related projects and initiatives.
According to the study, Oxford County is expected to grow in population by 47,000 and add approximately 21,000 new jobs over the 30 year period 2016-2046. Over this same period, the number of households is expected to grow by approximately 18,300.
The forecasts for the County are summarized as follows:
FORECAST: Total population | Oxford County (2016-2046)
2016 |
2021 |
2026 |
2031 |
2036 |
2041 |
2046 |
GROWTH
(2016-2046) |
113,940 |
122,890 |
130,300 |
138,100 |
146,060 |
153,6800 |
161,050 |
47,110 |
FORECAST: Total occupied households | Oxford County (2016-2046)
2016 |
2021 |
2026 |
2031 |
2036 |
2041 |
2046 |
GROWTH
(2016-2046) |
44,280 |
48,230 |
51,330 |
54,410 |
57,430 |
60,070 |
62,600 |
18,320 |
FORECAST: Total employment | Oxford County (2016-2046)
2016 |
2021 |
2026 |
2031 |
2036 |
2041 |
2046 |
GROWTH
(2016-2046) |
57,320 |
62,080 |
64,570 |
67,170 |
70,400 |
74,110 |
78,390 |
21,070 |
Questions regarding the County’s growth forecasts can be directed to the Manager of Planning Policy.